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2022 predictions

February 21, 2022

The Spoon Talks With ADM’s President of Global Foods About Trends Shaping Alternative Proteins in 2022

Even though ADM isn’t the first company you think of when it comes to alternative proteins, its sheer size and long reach into every sector of the food and ag value chain mean it will inevitably have a hand in steering just how fast the future food industry can scale.

Because of this, we thought we’d sit down with the company’s president of global foods and ingredients, Leticia Gonçalves, to hear what’s on her mind when it comes to trends shaping alternative proteins over the next year. The timing is good because ADM has just released its 2022 alt protein outlook which highlighted five trends the company sees as having a big impact in 2022.

The trends from the report featured are:

  • Introduction of novel protein sources, from cell-based to fungus and air
  • Advent of fermentation-as-aservice (FaaS)
  • Next generation, plant-based, whole-muscle solutions
  • Innovation and transparency from seed-to-fork
  • Price reduction of cultivated meat products
  • The rise of kid-friendly product formats

I asked Gonçalves about each of these trends. Here are some highlights from our conversation:

On the introduction of novel protein sources, from cell-based to fungus and air

“All those technologies are in the development phase. It’s not just the cell-based and fungi and air protein, but plant based solutions beyond soy including pea protein, technologies like cheap chickpeas, sunflower, even pinto beans. We see those new companies with the next-generation technologies advancing very quickly into bringing new technologies to market.

We see the trend of not only of new food startup companies investing, but many companies, including large companies like ADM, investing in those technologies. This is to help solve not only the technical needs to make sure that those technologies are not just viable from a technology standpoint, but also in terms of scalability and cost to achieve market success.”

On fermentation-as-a-service

“We see tremendous growing interest in microbial fermentation, especially as a novel method for developing alternative protein products. We have been expanding our fermentation capabilities and innovating in terms of new ways to serve food, beverage, and health and wellness brands. They’re seeking support, especially with downstream processing, lab services, and also consulting among other components essential to the food-grade fermentation. So it’s not only the novel technology but is how we connect that with the downstream processing, the lab services. Even how those technologies can be applied into final applications and get to the consumer acceptance at the end.”

On next generation, plant-based, whole-muscle solutions

“There has been a lot of technology evolving in that space. There are companies that are investing in how we can reproduce the texture realization of animal-based whole muscle cuts, from T bone steaks to shellfish to chicken nuggets. There is a lot of advancement in not only combining plant based and cultivated meat, for example, but also other binders and other texturants that can really bring that texture of the whole muscle meat. Sometimes it’s not just one answer one technology, but it’s how you bring all those pieces together to give the desired texture.”

On innovation and transparency from seed-to-fork

“Consumers are getting even more acquainted after the pandemic with where their food comes from, how we can protect animal welfare, and how can we all contribute to better climate solutions. The critical part of seed to fork is there are things you can do in the seed that can really drive lower cost and a better profile into the finished product. Not only to drive the transparency but to drive better throughput, starting with a seed composition that has a higher protein content, a better taste profile, better color profile. All of that will contribute to a better finished product at the end of the value chain.”

On price reduction of cultivated meat products

“Scale and price are connected. In December, Future Meat, said they are now producing cultivated chicken breast for just $7.70 per pound, which is down from approximately $18 per pound six months prior. So that’s a tremendous progress in just six months. But its still on a small scale. And the critical point, and then it’s something ADM has been contributing to finding a solution, is how you can scale and continue driving their price down to make sure that we get closer to to the price point that consumers will be willing to pay. It’s still an evolution, and I think the progress has been substantial. But there’s more progress to be made to make this a viable commercial and scale scalable technology.”

On the rise of kid-friendly product formats

“There are a lot of chicken nuggets or meatballs that are plant-based today, but what’s beyond that? Let’s think about what we can vary based on life stages and ages of kids, which can go from yogurt, to pizza to mac and cheese. Including different forms of veg forward products where they can find vegetables in a different way with more veg forward concept into ready meals. So those are all things that we are looking, you know, to bring more kid friendly product formats into the future.”

You can listen to my full conversation with Gonçalves below or find it on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

January 18, 2022

Five Food Robotics Predictions for 2022

It’s our second of five consecutive days of food tech predictions for 2022. Yesterday we looked into our crystal ball to predict the future for restaurant tech in 2022 and today we’re looking at food robots.

So, how exactly will robotics change food in 2022?

Front of House Automation Will Shoulder More of the Load for Workers

If there’s an area of dine-in restaurants impacted most by COVID, it’s the front of house. High turnover, social distancing and masking requirements have all put significant stress on staff who interface with consumers.

The good news is there is a new class of food robots ready to lend a hand. In the second half of 2021, we saw both Denny’s and Chili’s begin rolling out front-of-house robots from Bear robotics. Others such as Keenon and Pudu are also building robot servers to handle the load of overburdened workers.

And then there are the fully automated robots making and dispensing food that are being utilized within the confines of an existing restaurant, whether that’s robot bartender with personalities like Cecelia or cookie-making bots in Alabama.

Whether it’s waiter-bots or fully automated task-managers, expect more robots to help shoulder the load in the front of house in 2022.

Restaurants-in-a-Box Start Rolling Out

Get ready for the restaurant in-a-box. There are a number of startups with robo-restaurant concepts already in fully operational pilot tests who are looking to expand with multiple self-contained robot restaurants in 2022.

Hyper-Robotics, which makes fully automated containerized robot pizza restaurants that can pump out up to 50 pies per hour, is beginning to roll out its pizza robot restaurants in Israel. Cala, a French startup that makes fully autonomous pasta-making robots, is already operating a robot in Paris’ fifth arrondissement district. Another startup called Mezli, which is currently running its containerized bowl-food restaurant in Kitchentown, has plans to eventually launch more locations.

These are just a few self-contained robo-restaurants and we expect to see many more rollout in 2022.

Age of the Food Robocorn

One could argue that – at least for a while – that Zume hit unicorn status as it hauled in wheelbarrows of Softbank cash for its robot meets pizza delivery concept. However, the company eventually hit troubled waters and has since pivoted to sustainable packaging.

Since that time, a new wave of food robot startups has launched, but – outside of the warehouse space – we’ve yet to see any of these startups reach the same rarified valuation. I expect that to change in 2022.

As more restaurant and food delivery businesses adopt robotics and automation, we should see which robot startups hit escape velocity. My guess is we’ll see the next food robo-corns in food delivery space and restaurant robotics.

Modularized Robots and the Food Automation Integrator

One of the biggest challenges for rolling out automation tech in high-volume restaurants is how to begin the process of integrating a new robot into a kitchen. Established restaurants have their workflows and processes, which means an operator can’t just drop a robot into a kitchen and expect to see instant results.

This is why companies like Picnic, Hyphen, Miso and others are creating modularized back-of-house robots to assist workers by taking over a portion of their existing food production workflow. Meanwhile, some operators like Sweetgreen are bringing robotics expertise in-house and are trialing ways to bring food to their customers.

Finally, not only do I expect to see more food robot startups offer up modular-build approaches tailored to operators with locked-in workflows, but I also expect 2022 will see the rise of the ‘food automation integrator.’

Robot Vending Everywhere

Why eat a stale bag of chips when you can have fresh food? That’s what many office workers, university students and travelers will start to wonder as they come upon highly automated fresh food vending machines. Companies like Yo-Kai, DoorDash (with Chowbotics), and Costa Coffee’s Baristabot (formerly Briggo) are already moving towards wider deployment, while others like Basil Street are looking at significant expansion in the coming year.

Bonus Prediction: The Robot Operator Will Be a Hot New Job Category

It may seem like a dream job for a virtual reality nut, but apparently, VR-piloted delivery bots are now a thing. Also now a thing: Hospitality training programs that give prospective hospitality managers experience with deploying robots.

While there is concern among some that robotics could eventually displace workers in many of these spaces, I expect that we’ll also see many food industry employees clamoring to take on robotics operator as part of their job description. We can expect more robot operator jobs to become in demand in 2022, as we see food robots exit the pilot stage and enter full daily operation across restaurants, food service, delivery, grocery, and other food adjacent venues.

That’s it for restaurant robots. Tune in tomorrow for our alt-protein predictions for 2022!

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